valid from 19.08.2025
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Model portfolios – Swiss focus
US stock market remains underweighted
Last month, the US trade conflict became clearer, albeit in an unpleasant way. The US punitive tariffs remain in place and will be significantly higher than the previous base tariff of 10 percent. However, this has hardly caused any setbacks on the financial markets so far. Instead, relief seems to prevail that the punitive tariffs are not even higher than those threatened in April. As a result, stock prices rose further in many places. Nevertheless, these tariffs will weigh on the global economy and the US economy in particular. This means that the downside potential remains high in the expensive US stock market, which is dominated by technology stocks. We therefore remain cautiously positioned and continue to underweight US equities in favor of global value stocks and emerging market equities in order to reduce valuation risks and strengthen the diversification of our positioning.
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